Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1288.801843 1473.013435 1680.378960 1932.291172 2231.632072 2577.918691 3011.662506
2025-07-06 974.493709 1200.940052 1480.709396 1856.301185 2354.293607 3001.918022 3924.602473
2025-07-13 861.917432 1115.675543 1449.094912 1928.267239 2614.492988 3586.248150 5112.567881
2025-07-20 766.933125 1031.414702 1396.172062 1949.897379 2794.821151 4080.591012 6279.476133
2025-07-27 701.866670 975.331823 1368.605331 1995.106462 3007.097838 4652.355242 7701.662989
2025-08-03 646.930979 924.776793 1339.181996 2028.101010 3199.455186 5223.128566 9269.755136
2025-08-10 609.903130 895.179691 1335.511232 2097.936398 3460.403462 5960.230424 11360.125503
2025-08-17 568.864613 854.030189 1307.386345 2120.749313 3639.781102 6582.526421 13410.343743
2025-08-24 530.113240 811.979341 1272.066598 2124.424737 3781.905330 7159.650252 15550.130568
2025-08-31 497.152440 775.793040 1241.941091 2132.049170 3931.004001 7781.726801 18017.667038
2025-09-07 472.566321 751.011400 1228.271431 2167.489295 4141.049324 8583.943493 21264.864434
2025-09-14 435.489159 701.448629 1165.559233 2099.676199 4121.021555 8850.518329 23121.780668
2025-09-21 401.917462 656.509477 1109.208021 2042.246946 4125.471127 9207.177308 25510.248943
2025-09-28 369.487637 611.196618 1048.344588 1969.023021 4084.687343 9449.832441 27694.469492
2025-10-05 358.901029 604.221177 1058.579613 2045.205703 4407.696081 10746.263660 34252.217517
2025-10-12 343.058418 586.095541 1045.298885 2068.602646 4606.985229 11760.890135 40434.285678
2025-10-19 331.255289 574.478271 1043.532419 2117.165443 4880.663814 13087.542481 48897.950734
2025-10-26 319.034958 560.991714 1036.537429 2152.637602 5127.666102 14418.954407 58515.651982
2025-11-02 311.373115 555.693648 1045.786384 2227.739880 5501.694386 16318.537646 72873.606337
2025-11-09 299.726910 541.531062 1034.900847 2252.282151 5736.384812 17821.931279 86707.348372
2025-11-16 287.248439 524.734896 1016.763312 2256.236569 5911.194886 19175.851839 101277.693798
2025-11-23 276.026512 509.680580 1001.067939 2264.440123 6102.308971 20681.334275 118976.427339
2025-11-30 267.793176 500.208220 996.928405 2302.578230 6400.181012 22776.740625 144566.507589